Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.044781 5.893864 6.809233 7.865562 9.046947 10.323520 11.803178
2025-04-13 3.470787 4.523845 5.754485 7.283457 9.115834 11.224745 13.817894
2025-04-20 2.746001 3.955352 5.474145 7.484681 10.036295 13.125440 17.102920
2025-04-27 2.344191 3.696789 5.507548 8.038687 11.408042 15.658129 21.333852
2025-05-04 1.988048 3.422007 5.461416 8.458428 12.622100 18.066288 25.568206
2025-05-11 1.600661 3.019308 5.165940 8.481549 13.282936 19.779193 28.997041
2025-05-18 1.239840 2.577045 4.734797 8.238987 13.524675 20.915599 31.698400
2025-05-25 0.969322 2.221017 4.372361 8.037284 13.779418 22.053881 34.431424
2025-06-01 0.783685 1.971598 4.137782 7.992547 14.240410 23.484584 37.615417
2025-06-08 0.629883 1.744355 3.901057 7.906327 14.612654 24.785661 40.653593
2025-06-15 0.566350 1.689772 3.964302 8.324609 15.800930 27.347746 45.620167
2025-06-22 0.471623 1.540363 3.823715 8.365798 16.368893 28.983774 49.272347
2025-06-29 0.356031 1.309034 3.489765 8.031916 16.305842 29.671647 51.586906
2025-07-06 0.260480 1.093110 3.145351 7.631684 16.088637 30.094270 53.507244
2025-07-13 0.229772 1.051569 3.175465 7.960394 17.171251 32.656567 58.844820
2025-07-20 0.221007 1.076290 3.361694 8.618966 18.885325 36.322373 66.043018
2025-07-27 0.203473 1.066429 3.463493 9.110997 20.320504 39.580005 72.696432
2025-08-03 0.168127 0.980025 3.362455 9.165063 20.942891 41.498610 77.266225
2025-08-10 0.128144 0.855132 3.137810 8.924641 20.986409 42.428851 80.259458
2025-08-17 0.097621 0.749797 2.941567 8.720136 21.076493 43.431027 83.389778
2025-08-24 0.077520 0.678305 2.824031 8.678647 21.476355 44.978021 87.454776
2025-08-31 0.060267 0.608006 2.693920 8.590359 21.771375 46.344110 91.251235
2025-09-07 0.055771 0.607634 2.781286 9.039077 23.188800 49.769621 98.618748